• 人口、资源与环境经济 •

人口老龄化、产业结构升级与区域碳排放

1. 兰州财经大学 财税与公共管理学院
• 出版日期:2022-02-20 发布日期:2022-03-22

Research on Population Aging，Upgrading of Industrial Structure，and Regional Carbon Emissions

• Online:2022-02-20 Published:2022-03-22

Abstract:

Based on China's provincial panel data from 2009 to 2019，this paper analyzes the impact of population aging and upgrading of industrial structure on regional carbon emissions by using spatial econometric methods. The study finds that carbon emissions across China have significant positive spatial correlation and spatial spillover effects. There is a u-shaped relationship between population aging and advanced industrial structure and regional carbon emissions. There is an inverted U-shaped relation⁃ ship between population aging and rationalization of industrial structure. The upgrading of industrial structure has a significant positive impact on promoting regional carbon emission reduction. The current population aging and industrial structure upgrade have a significant positive correlation with regional carbon emission reduction. Technology innovation，human capital，opening to the outside world，the improvement of government public services，infrastructure，and the reduction of the tax burden of local governments will all have a significant negative impact on regional carbon emissions. In addition，the intermediary effect test shows that the aging of the population can have an important impact on regional carbon emissions through the upgrading of industrial structures.
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